The Economy Crashes into Recession
Renowned economist Peter Schiff has made some bold predictions for the year 2024. According to Schiff, the big surprise will not only be a recession in the economy but also a resurgence of high inflation. In a series of posts on social media platform X, Schiff shared his insights and warned investors about the potential challenges ahead.
The Technicals Are Breaking Down
Schiff pointed out that the technical indicators for the U.S. Dollar Index are showing signs of weakness. He expressed concern that this comes at a particularly unfavorable time, as the Federal Reserve is planning interest rate cuts. These cuts, Schiff explained, will not only further accelerate the decline of the dollar but also add upward pressure on inflation.
Inflation Returns with a Vengeance
Schiff emphasized that the U.S. Dollar Index is currently below 101 for the first time since July, marking a decline of over 12% from its 2022 high. He attributed the significant decline in headline CPI to the rise in the dollar. However, Schiff warned that all of these gains may be lost in 2024, leading to new highs in annual inflation.
Gold's Rise and Dollar's Fall
As the year comes to a close, Schiff noted that both the U.S. Dollar Index and the price of gold are moving in the anticipated directions. The Dollar Index is quietly sinking toward 100, while gold is gradually approaching $2,100. Schiff predicted that these trends will become more pronounced in 2024, with the dollar's decline and gold's rise accelerating.
Trade Deficit and Imported Goods Prices
Schiff shared additional insights on the trade deficit in goods, which was larger than expected at $90.3 billion in November. He highlighted that this not only indicates a weak and dysfunctional economy but also suggests a significant drop in the dollar and a rise in imported goods prices in 2024.
The Highly Anticipated Recession
In a follow-up post, Schiff reiterated his belief that a highly anticipated recession is still on the horizon. Despite government spending being credited with delaying the onset of the recession, Schiff argued that it has only served to make the eventual recession much worse.
Warnings and Caution
Peter Schiff has long been cautioning about the U.S. economy and the future of the dollar. He has warned of a historic crash for the U.S. dollar, the absence of a soft landing for the economy, and the destruction of U.S. dollar holders. Additionally, Schiff has sounded the alarm on the possibility of a deep recession, an inflationary depression, an unprecedented financial crisis, and the potential for the biggest bond market crash.
In conclusion, economist Peter Schiff's predictions for the U.S. economy and the dollar in 2024 are filled with caution and warnings. Schiff believes that a recession is imminent, accompanied by a resurgence of high inflation. The technical indicators for the U.S. Dollar Index are showing signs of weakness, which, combined with the Federal Reserve's planned interest rate cuts, could further exacerbate the decline of the dollar and increase inflationary pressures. As always, time will tell whether Schiff's predictions hold true.
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By: Kevin Helms
Title: Peter Schiff's 2024 Economic Predictions: Recession and High Inflation
Sourced From: news.bitcoin.com/peter-schiff-says-big-surprise-awaits-in-2024-warns-of-crash-recession-high-inflation-returning-with-vengeance/
Published Date: Fri, 29 Dec 2023 02:30:40 +0000
